Federalbrief
Dec 19, 2025

Latest Inflation Report Shatters Expectations, Falls To Lowest Level Since Early 2021 yyy

The Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday released the Consumer Price Index data for November 2025, which came in much lower than expected.

The report indicated a year-over-year increase of 2.7 percent in the all-items CPI, which was lower than the 3.1 percent anticipated by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, rose 2.6 percent year-over-year, also below the consensus expectation of 3.0 percent.

This reading marked a deceleration from prior months. The all-items index had risen 3.0 percent over the 12 months ending in September 2025. The core rate of 2.6 percent represented the smallest annual increase since March 2021, while the headline figure of 2.7 percent was the lowest since July 2025.

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